Birth rate in the United States -The average number of children in each woman fell 22% between 1990 and 2023. Latest data In the National Center for Health Statistics (NCH) of Disease Control and Prevention Center. It’s not a new trend. Just before the economic downturn in 2008, the decline began in 2007. The fertility rate, in which the US population rapidly agreed, has long been nervous about policy makers’ emissions of social security funds and generally caused economic turmoil as the labor force decreases.
Is it a solution for Americans to have more babies? And should we worry about the decrease in birth rate at first? According to three experts who think about changes in demographics, demographics and reproduction, this problem is more complicated.
What is happening?
In 1990, each woman had an average of 2.08 children. By 2023, the figure fell to 1.62. The number of babies born every year decreases 14% over the same period, reducing 562,195 births in 2023 compared to 1990.
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The decline occurs as the number of teenagers who have a baby decreases rapidly. In 1990, 1.4 babies were born for each 1,000 girl between 10 and 14 years old. By 2023, the number fell to 0.2. The birth rate per 1,000 women between 15 and 19 years of age decreased by 78%.
Historically, low teenage pregnancy and birth rates are considered a public health victory. “If a teenager wants to be pregnant and wants to protect the baby, they must go to the right, but most of the teenage pregnancy is unintentional or unwanted, and it is absolutely good for people to be good at preventing births.” Leslie rootThe census and deputy director of the Colorado University Population Center speaks to Yahoo. The decrease in unintended teenage pregnancy is grateful for improving the contraceptive pill and improving the accessibility of young women.
problem
Less pregnancy means that meaning Young women are more likely to Graduate in high school, maintain health and avoid poverty -positive indicators of individual life and economy. However, the stagnation of teenagers with children contributes to the overall deficiency. Despite the increase in the number of babies born in women in their 30s and 40s, there is no birth enough to replenish babies that teenagers do not have.
This is a problem because it has a birth rate of less than 2.1 children per woman, which is known as a replacement rate. The replacement rate is the result of a very simple demographic. Two children are needed to “replace” each of the two parents to maintain the future population (to maintain .01 for a young child’s death). Currently, the birth rate is 1.62 children per woman. It is too little to replace the population of the population when retired and eventually dies.
Maintaining the number of people in the state population or the world’s population is mostly important for economic reasons. If there are more people who retire or children who have more children or children than the labor age, the social security fund is depleted, and there are not enough people who pay to restore the safe.
“I think there is a reason to be concerned.” Philip LevinWellesley College Economics speaks in Yahoo Life. “Having this low birth rate affects society, including economic activities.” It is highly likely to produce less production for less worker. If the population decreases, creativity and innovation sometimes slow down. “And and our social security system depends entirely on the fact that there are more children who will grow to contribute to the retirement safety net, Levine says.
Please give me some context
First of all, this is not new. In the United States, the fertility rate has been decreasing for almost 20 years, and since 2007, we have not increased the replacement rate, which is not unique to the US family. that Global Dasan The rate is falling, and the rate is lower than the replacement level at about two -thirds of the country.
It is not all bad. “Overall, it is excellent that the birth rate of the world in history is great.” Philip CohenMaryland University professor of sociology speaks to Yahoo Life. “It was very important for social progress, raising opportunities for children, giving people more choices on how to run a family, and opened a professional world for women.” The greater proportion of women in labor force is Benefits It also means that more income taxes paid by state and federal budgets.
But in the end, the ratio will be overturned. The women (and men and men) working now will retire. What is important to maintain a stable population is not the number of babies, but the rate of working with non -workers. The ratio was actually the most balanced after the arrival of the baby boom generation born between 1946 and 1964, which was less than 50% of Americans. Working age. In 2023, 54%of Americans were working. However, as the boom generation reaches the retirement age and the birth rate decreases, the number of new adult workers will be reduced to replace the boom generation. To ensure economic stability, the United States needs more workers.
What can you do?
Experts speak to babies and immigrants about Yahoo life.
Immigrants and children have been explained since 2015 Most growth of the labor population The United States is the easiest and fastest way to grow population so far. 2022 77%of US immigrants were labor.Compared to 58%of the United States. Immigrants usually arrive as an adult who can work immediately.
On the other hand, making a baby a worker is a slow and expensive process. Cohen said, “The production of more babies today will be more than 18 years of age.” And as the number of baby boomers leaving the manpower increases, “the rise in birth rates will worsen because it means more dependents.” “The only problem of the date of birth and population in the US is that I prefer American babies over immigrants.”
In this sense, it is a simpler option to increase the birth rate. “Immigration can quickly fill the position of manpower, but it was always political, always political,” Jennifer sciubbaPopularist and author 8 billion and calculations: How to form sex, death and migration form our world,,, Yahoo’s life.
Population statistics experts agree that the government’s efforts to provide incentives to people to have children who are known as a pro -parentalist policy such as paid parental vacation, free early childcare and child tax deductions are generally good for society. The birth rate, including Japan, Finland, China and Hungary, and other countries with a decrease in the population tried to establish a pronoun policy to encourage the population growth, but SCIUBBA says. “There is not much that the state government can actually do.”
Cohen said that there is a reason to be concerned about the national and global decline of the population, but it is unrealistic to expect people to solve the problem by telling people to leave more children. It can be effective in the margin, but it will not persuade the sufficient family to move the birth rate needles meaningfully. “People don’t have children for bigger lines,” he says.
